56) GLOBAL WARMING
Global warming (also called the greenhouse effect) describes the
gradual increase of the air temperature in the earth's lower
atmosphere.
Why is global warming called the greenhouse effect?
Greenhouses are not common in Africa, so don't be surprised if
you have never seen one! They are used mainly in the cooler
northern hemisphere to grow vegetables and flowers.
A greenhouse is made entirely of glass. When sunlight (shortwave
radiation) strikes the glass, most of it passes through and warms
up the plants, soil and air inside the greenhouse. As these
objects warm up they give off heat, but these heat waves have a
much longer wavelength than the incoming rays from the sun. This
longwave radiation cannot easily pass through glass, it is re-
radiated into the greenhouse, causing everything in it to heat
up.
THE NATURAL GREENHOUSE EFFECT
The term greenhouse effect is used to describe the warming effect
that certain gases have on the temperature of the earth's
atmosphere under normal conditions.
Sunlight (shortwave radiation) passes easily through the earth's
atmosphere. Once it strikes and warms the earth's surface,
longwave radiation is given off and goes back into the
atmosphere. While some of this longwave radiation or heat escapes
into space, most of it is absorbed or held by carbon dioxide and
other gases that exist in small quantities in the atmosphere.
Thus these gases form a `blanket' that keeps the earth an average
of 33 degrees centigrade warmer than it would be if this
greenhouse effect did not occur. Without these gases the whole
planet would be an icy wasteland with an average temperature of
16 degrees centigrade below freezing!
HOW HAVE PEOPLE ALTERED THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT?
Human population growth and related industrial expansion, have
led to greater air pollution and a change in the composition of
the earth's atmosphere. Some pollutants enhance the natural
greenhouse effect, resulting in increased global atmospheric
temperatures.
WHAT ARE THE GREENHOUSE GASES?
* Water vapour is the main greenhouse gas. Human activities are
not known to have had a significant influence on the atmospheric
concentration of water vapour.
* Carbon dioxide (CO2) is the pollutant most responsible for
increased global warming. It is released into the atmosphere
mainly through burning of fossil fuels (e.g. coal, petrol,
diesel). In addition, widespread destruction of natural
vegetation, particularly forests, has contributed to increased
atmospheric CO2 levels (see Enviro Facts "Deforestation"). This
has occurred for two reasons. First, plants take up CO2 through
the process of photosynthesis. The destruction of vegetation, as
occurs in deforestation, reduces the amount of CO2 that is
removed from the atmosphere. Second, when forests are cleared,
and burnt or left to rot, CO2 is released.
* Methane (CH4) has doubled in concentration, mainly as a result
of agricultural activities, between 1750 and 1990.
* Nitrous oxide (N2O), also a product of burning fossil fuel,
has increased by 8% over the same period.
* Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), in addition to damaging the ozone
layer, are potent greenhouse gases. Their concentrations in the
atmosphere are increasing by about 4% every year.
SIGNS THAT GLOBAL WARMING HAS BEGUN.
* The average global temperature is about 0,5 degrees centigrade
warmer than it was 100 years ago.
* 1990 is the warmest year on record, 1988 the second warmest,
and 1980, 1981, 1983 and 1986 were all warmer than any other
years in the last century. Preliminary analyses of 1991
temperature records indicate that this year was also above
average.
* Snow and ice-cover have decreased this century, deep ocean
temperatures have increased, and cloud cover over North America
has also increased over this period. The latter indicates
increased atmospheric water vapour.
* Over the last century, global sea levels have risen by between
100 mm and 200 mm.
FURTHER EFFECTS OF GLOBAL WARMING.
If current pollution trends continue, scientists conclude that
the earth could probably be about 1 degree centigrade warmer by
2025 and 3 degrees centigrade warmer by 2100. This rapid
temperature rise could have several effects:
* These changes in global temperature, although apparently
small, could cause very large changes in climate. For example,
the last Ice Age, which ended approximately 15 000 years ago, was
only 5 degrees centigrade colder than current temperatures, but
the resulting climate changes were massive: most of North America
was covered in a layer of ice about 1,5 km thick and sea levels
in the Cape were about 120 m lower than at present. In those
days, if you had wanted to go for a swim at Cape Agulhas you
would first have had to walk about 150 km to reach the sea!
* A rapid extinction of species.
* Rising sea levels - water expands as it warms and glaciers
melt, adding water to the oceans, thus we can expect widespread
flooding of coastal areas as sea levels rise.
* Greater frequency and scale of extreme weather conditions,
e.g. drought and flood.
* Changes in the distribution of disease-bearing organisms so
that people, domestic animals, and crops might be exposed to
diseases previously absent from an area.
DID YOU KNOW?
* Many nations are reluctant to commit themselves to the costly
changes necessary to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in view of
the uncertainties surrounding the precise effects of global
warming.
* Atmospheric CO2 concentration will be double the pre-
industrial concentration in about 60 years time.
* Sea levels are likely to rise 60 mm each decade over the next
century.
* Two-thirds of South Africa's population rely mainly on coal
as an energy source. Providing electricity to these people will
result in a nett reduction in CO2 emissions as a consequence of
improved overall energy efficiency.
WHAT YOU CAN DO
Reduction of greenhouse gas emissions requires greater energy
efficiency. Industrialists and governments have a key role to
play here. But what can the individual do?
- Reduce electricity consumption.
- Use lift clubs, public transport, bicycles or your feet for
transport.
- Reduce, reuse, recycle, and save energy - the manufacture of
all products requires energy.
FURTHER READING
THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT - A PRACTICAL GUIDE TO THE WORLD'S CHANGING
CLIMATE.
S. Boyle and J. Ardill. Hodder and Stoughton, London, 1989.
ESKOM. DATABANK FACTSHEETS: PRACTICAL HINTS FOR SAVING
ELECTRICITY (NO.1) and ESKOM, VILLAIN AND BENEFACTOR: FACTS AND
MYTHS ON POLLUTION (NO.8).
PROJECT OUTREACH: THE CHANGING ATMOSPHERE.
Issues no. 56 & 57. Share-Net, address below.
THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT: A TEACHERS MANUAL.
M. Roos. Share-Net, address below. Greenhouse buster pack.
Available from branches of the Wildlife Society, address below.
USEFUL ADDRESSES:
The Wildlife Society of Southern Africa.
National office, PO Box 44344, Linden, 2104. Tel: (011) 486
3294/5 or 0938. Branches nationwide.
Eskom: Communications Department.
PO Box 1091, Johannesburg, 2000. Tel. 011-8002499
Share-Net.
PO Box 394, Howick, 3290. Tel. 0332-305721.
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